Crude alternator load test. 88-Honda Accord

Discussion in 'Accord' started by Tibur Waltson, Dec 28, 2003.

  1. Tibur Waltson

    w_tom Guest

    No manufacturer rates a product's quantity or life
    expectancy with a statistical average. Its not complicated.
    When they say a battery is expected to last 48 months, they
    don't mean half the batteries will last less than 48 months
    and the other half will last more than 48 months. That would
    be an 'arithmetic mean' of 48 months.

    Instead, something like 99.99% of those batteries must last
    48 months ... or longer. They provide a minimally acceptable
    life expectancy number. It is called a Confidence level.
    What's so difficult about this? It's a standard concept in
    any first level statistics course. Why are you now getting so
    emotional over a mathematical concept that is so trivially
    simple? Why do you insult because you did not know this?

    Expected average life is a Confidence level. They don't
    publish a number that 50% of the batteries will not meet.
    They publish a number that most every battery is expected to
    meet. That is called a Confidence level.


    You do remember the 1970s. If that 24 month battery failed
    in 14 months, and if you still had a receipt, then the
    pro-rated warranty was automatically honored - no questions
    asked. All batteries either exceeded their rating, or would
    be replaced by that warranty. So where does this nonsense
    about batteries lasting too long have any relevance? Or is
    that just another silly insult.

    There is no lecture here. Just simple business math. Its
    called a Confidence level.

    A lead acid battery's performance is directly traceable to
    temperature - which is why they are rated with a cold cranking
    amperage. However performance and battery failure are two
    completely different things. Temperature is completely
    irrelevant when a battery will not even hold a charge.
    Temperature makes no difference when one cell short circuits
    from a pile of debris shorting electrode plates. Another
    failure condition estimated by the Confidence level.

    Please read carefully before jumping to conclusions. I
    never said a battery not starting at -20 degree failed. I
    noted that a battery that had frozen when new still managed to
    well exceed its confidence level. Completely different meaning
    from what you assumed. Frozen batteries (like over discharged
    batteries) don't always last much longer. This one did. It
    was still working five years later.

    Your lecture about battery performance is noted as accurate,
    but is simply preaching the the choir about something
    completely irrelevant. A battery that should have failed
    before its confidence level predicted (because it was frozen),
    instead went on to long exceed its life expectancy. Now that
    it is posted a second time, do you understand - and notice
    how my tone has changed because you insult with arrogance
    rather than learn what a confidence level is.

    I guess you never took any introductory statistic lessons in
    school. Shame. In Japan, simple statistics is required of
    every Jr High School student - even future battery salesman.
    Just another insult you earned.

    Now, maybe you would like to stop with the insults?
     
    w_tom, Dec 31, 2003
    #21
  2. Tibur Waltson

    Randolph Guest

    No, that would be the median, not the mean.
    The "difficulty" with this is that you made up the 99.99% number.
    The duration of the warranty is not the expected life. The life
    expectancy of a car in the US is around 17 years, the warranty is
    significantly shorter. On the other end of the scale, my tire pressure
    gauge has a lifetime warranty even on the battery. I do not expect the
    battery to last another 50 years, but I sure hope I will.
     
    Randolph, Dec 31, 2003
    #22
  3. Tibur Waltson

    Bob Guest

    And maybe you should stop trying to blow smoke up everyone's ass. You bring
    to mind the old saying that if you can't dazzle 'em with brilliance baffle
    'em with bullshit.
     
    Bob, Jan 1, 2004
    #23
  4. In my previous posts, I shared my practical experience in direct observation
    of scrap/spent secondary lead acid wet cell battery failure condition
    starting in the 1970's. This was in reference to another poster making
    allegation to present day batteries can be expected to last up to about 10
    years.

    It is amazing how warranty can be misconstrued to imply product quality by
    many aftermarket marketers. Those aftermarket vendors go to market to
    wholesale purchase commodities to satisfy a pent up demand. Many times they
    choose how products will be warranty branded based upon competition and
    perceived value to the consumer. Why do many consumers fall into the 7 year
    battery trap when a 50 month or 5 year competitively rated product will
    suffice? To quote P. T. Barnum, "There is a sucker born every minute."
    So the "simple" statistical explanation by ""w_tom" <>"
    doesn't hold "water" and is refutable.

    Usually, the only time statistics mattered in my former job was when a
    manufacturers
    brand quotation submitted to a volume prospect requested engineering
    ratings. Included in the Bid or Request For Quotation (RFQ), it was
    required for my quote to be considered that I personally and corporately
    certify the specifications by both my signatures and sometimes accompanied
    by a performance bond. Warranty as somewhat erroneously explained by
    ""w_tom" <>" was a secondary consideration due to my
    presenting a manufacturers brand. I cheerfully complied due to my
    eagerness to help the cash flow of my business by paying creditors and
    employees and finally myself.

    The US battery industry has shared with many interested parties failure mode
    analysis results of OE batteries and their average age upon replacement with
    aftermarket batteries. I do not know any other simple manner of
    explanation.

    What planet did ""w_tom" <>" arrive from? Can one explain
    how certain newsgroups spawn rocket scientists?

    Since when does products that reach the end of the production line know
    whether how each will be marketed based upon warranty printed on different
    labels to different aftermarket customers?

    In the future will you ""w_tom" <>" provide a syllabus?
    "It's a standard concept in any first level statistics course." So what!

    Who asked you to expand on trivial matters? "Why are you now getting so
    emotional over a mathematical concept that is so trivially simple?" Who as
    a consumer cares about your trivial simple mathematical concepts?

    Apparently in your manner of pea brained deduction there is only the
    ""w_tom" <>" manner of thinking. I am comforted to be
    informed by you of your vast knowledge! So when will you answer the help
    wanted ad by NASA?

    "Why do you insult because you did not know this?" Please get a life and
    cease and desist from your babbling.

    Last but not least please take a reading comprehension course. I have the
    experience that you probably wish you had in your wildest dreams.

    Sincerely,

    A former battery specialist distributor manager!
    snip
     
    Caprice Classic, Jan 1, 2004
    #24
  5. Tibur Waltson

    Randolph Guest

    If you have an automotive alternator driving a resistive load (no
    battery in the circuit, negligible capacitance and inductance) the
    ripple voltage would be about 1.4V (peak to peak) or about 0.5V (RMS).
    This is assuming a three-phase alternator with the output DC voltage
    regulated to 14.5 V RMS.

    The ripple voltage changes very little with load current.

    When it comes to judging the health of the alternator, the magnitude of
    the ripple is not as important as the shape. Normally it will look
    something like:
    _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
    / \_/ \_/ \_/ \_/ \_/ \_/ \_/ \_


    If you have a failed diode (open) in the rectifier you will have
    something like:
    _ _ _ _ _
    / \_____/ \_/ \_____/ \_/ \_____


    If you have a failed diode (short) in the rectifier you will have
    something like:
    _ _ _ _ _
    / \__ __/ \_/ \__ __/ \_/ \__ __
    V V V

    Some ripple is inherent in the system and does not cause damage. It can
    sometimes cause noise in poorly designed audio equipment.

    Voltage fluctuations CAN cause damage. If the alternator is full-fielded
    under moderate load the output voltage can get very high. The service
    manual for my '94 Civic warns against letting the voltage rise above 18V
    during fullfield testing of the alternator. A common failure mode for
    voltage regulators is that the alternator is fullfielded.
     
    Randolph, Jan 1, 2004
    #25
  6. Tibur Waltson

    w_tom Guest

    The 99.99% number was provided as example. The 99.99%
    ballpark number was created, as example, to keep the concept
    simple.

    The term 'average life expectancy' as it was introduced by
    another referred to how batteries were sold in those days.
    Yes, the number of months stamped on a battery meant every
    battery should last beyond that date. But in the early 1970s,
    if a warranty was for two years, then the product was often
    failing in less than three. Therefore many assumed that 24
    months was the average life expectancy. Reliability in the
    1970s was so bad that many cars needed a whole valve job or
    new cam by 20,000 or 40,000 miles - typically just after the
    warranty had ended.

    There should be little relationship between warranty and
    life expectancy. Warranty is some number less than the life
    expectancy.
    But in the 1970s, life expectancy for some products was often
    little beyond the warranty period for too many products.
    Therefore for a 24 month battery, many simply assumed that 24
    months was, also, its life expectancy.

    This was a period of Firestone 500 paraplegics and
    quadriplegics when Sears promoted a different concept. Tires
    that did not fail prematurely (Michelins) and a battery that
    really did last longer (Sears Die-hard). Today we don't worry
    so much about warranty periods because batteries typically
    last well beyond those numbers. Concept of 'failure is
    normal' that was so prevalent in the 70s is really unknown to
    so many today. Today, car batteries last on the order of
    seven and nine years. In the 1970s, if I tried to sell an
    eight year battery, one would probably assume it was a scam.
    It was a different time when premature failure (and even cars
    rusting out starting in two years) was quite normal.
     
    w_tom, Jan 1, 2004
    #26
  7. Tibur Waltson

    Randolph Guest

    AC Delco seems to believe that with an average life of 63 months, they
    have the industry average beat by 33%. See
    http://www.acdelco.com/html/pi_batt_auto_study.htm
     
    Randolph, Jan 1, 2004
    #27
  8. Tibur Waltson

    Chip Stein Guest

    not to stray from the already strayed, but.. you can full field load
    test those old honda alternators with a paper clip. there's a hole in
    the back that you can push a contact and bypass the regulator.
    Chip
     
    Chip Stein, Jan 2, 2004
    #28
  9. As I've already pointed out, "average" includes a large number which are
    abused. When I see people walk away from their cars leaving the headlamps
    on because they know they have a handy-dandy auto-off switch I see umm,
    ignorance. Of course the same people will leave the headlamps and likely
    radio, vent fan etc in on position when they next start the engine - IOW
    simple abuse.

    Obviously the timeframe means that observations are difficult to accumulate
    but personally I expect to get 7-8 years from a battery nowadays, just by
    observing the obvious precautions. My '92 Integra original battery lasted
    71/2 years and it had those nutty auto-retracting seatbelts. I used to
    leave the door open while starting the engine... to avoid whacking the
    battery with the retracting mechanism jolt. When it did eventually need
    replaced, it failed quite gradually - the door open trick was enough to get
    it going 1/2hour after my wife had found the engine wouldn't start with the
    door closed.

    Rgds, George Macdonald

    "Just because they're paranoid doesn't mean you're not psychotic" - Who, me??
     
    George Macdonald, Jan 2, 2004
    #29
  10. Tibur Waltson

    Guest

    Once you do this if you turn off all the loads does the voltage quickly
    float up to 13.6 volts? If so then the alternator is prolly' okay. You
    may just need a battery. How old is it and of what quality? Are you near
    and Autozone or Sears? They will check the system out for free, or a
    small fee.
     
    wß, Jan 3, 2004
    #30
  11. Good question, I didn't include this information because I thought
    everyone assume if it reads 13.6V with load at fast idle then the
    voltages should jump up to 14.4V without load at fast idle. Which
    it did and I was wrong to assume. I regret not including this info
    because the other BMW measures 13.6V with load at fast idle
    and 13.7V with no load at fast idle.

    Based on many advices the Beamer's alternator is broken, but it's
    newly rebuild and it works. It'll be impractical to yank it out in the
    freezing cold when it appears to work fine, unless I'm, otherwise,
    convinced.
    About the battery, it was a cheap`o Wa1-Mart one-year free
    exchange battery rated at 650 cranking amp max. I'll be sticking
    with the Sears 7-years free replacement Die-Hard or Duracraft
    or something.
    Tibur
     
    Tibur Waltson, Jan 4, 2004
    #31
  12. Tibur Waltson

    Dave Guest

    Thanks for the reply Randolph. If I remember correctly, the voltage on the
    scope looked something like:

    /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

    with sharp peaks (+/- 0.2 volts) spaced out evenly. Does the above wave signal
    any problems your fimilar with?

    Thanks,
    - Dave
     
    Dave, Jan 8, 2004
    #32
  13. Tibur Waltson

    Randolph Guest

    Thanks for the reply Randolph. If I remember correctly, the voltage on the
    No, not to my knowledge.
     
    Randolph, Jan 9, 2004
    #33
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