Who will be the US "Big 3" in 2016?

Discussion in 'General Motoring' started by John Horner, Aug 2, 2006.

  1. John Horner

    Mike Hunter Guest

    I have not intention of teaching a class in a NG of how FWD and RWD assembly
    lines must be operated, no matter the brand. I'll simply say again you
    obviously know nothing about how vehicles are built on an assembly line if
    that is what you believe.


    mike hunt
     
    Mike Hunter, Aug 7, 2006
  2. John Horner

    Mike Hunter Guest

    Do your own research. I don't do homework for my own grand children. CAFE
    for cars is 27.5 MPG not 30 MPG. Hint; Gas Guzzler Tax



    mike hunt
     
    Mike Hunter, Aug 7, 2006
  3. John Horner

    Ray O Guest

    I do not profess to be an expert on how assembly lines are operated, I only
    assume that the design engineers I spoke with had some expertise in that
    area.

    Toyota uses the same assembly lines for FWD and RWD, at least back in the
    fall of 1985, when I saw RWD Corolla Hatchbacks coming down the same line as
    FWD Celicas at Tahara. Before then, I was not aware that it was practical
    to assemble not only different driveline configurations, but different
    models on the same line.

    Why do FWD vehicles cost more to assemble than RWD vehicles?
     
    Ray O, Aug 7, 2006
  4. John Horner

    John Horner Guest

    They don't. In fact, FWD is easier to assemble because the entire
    engine, transmission, front end assembly can be built freestanding and
    then inserted as a unit into the vehicle, typically from the underside.

    If you live near an automobile assembly plant you can probably arrange a
    tour and see for yourself.

    Another advantage of FWD is slightly reduced drivetran losses which
    means that more of the power generated by the engine makes it to the
    road-tire interface. All other things being equal, a FWD implementation
    will yield higher fuel economy than the same component set implemented
    as RWD.

    Mike's rantings can generally be safely ignored. He generally hides
    behind statements like "I dont' do research for my kids".

    John
     
    John Horner, Aug 7, 2006
  5. John Horner

    Ray O Guest

    I spent 15 years working for an automaker, and while I do not consider
    myself an expert on vehicle production systems, I am not totally unaware of
    assembly methods and the advantages and disadvantages of FWD and RWD
    powertrains.

    I've read a few of Mike's posts, I was hoping to hear his explanation of why
    FWD costs more than RWD.
     
    Ray O, Aug 7, 2006
  6. John Horner

    Mike Hunter Guest

    FWD vehicles require more off line preassembly, which is more expensive .


    mike hunt
     
    Mike Hunter, Aug 8, 2006
  7. I am aware that the CAFE standard for cars is 27.5 mpg. I am also
    aware that, if you sell a lot of cars that get (optimistically) 15 mpg
    then you have to have some over 30 if you are going to meet the
    target. I also know that neither RR nor Ferrari has ever sold a car
    that was rated at 30 mpg by the EPA.

    The Gas Guzzler tax in only indirectly related to the CAFE standards.
    You can meet the CAFE standard and still have some vehicles hit by the
    GGT. Conversely, you can miss the CAFE target and yet not pay the
    GGT.

    And, to reiterate my original point (which you wish to dismiss with a
    wave of your hand), you can always simply miss the CAFE standard and
    just pay the tax. No car maker *has* to meet the CAFE standard and
    there are a number that never have.
     
    Gordon McGrew, Aug 8, 2006
  8. Mike is long on brash statements and short on explanations and
    supporting evidence.

    There was a time when he might have thrown out some BS explanation
    only to be skewered with solid evidence refuting his outlandish claim.
    Now he just acts like it is beneath his dignity to support any claim
    he makes.
     
    Gordon McGrew, Aug 8, 2006
  9. You have got to be joking. Did you ever hear of the VW Beetle? They
    had sold 5 million of those in the US by 1970. Add in sales of Fiat,
    Peugeot, Renault, Volvo, MG, Triumph, Saab, BMW, Mercedes and it must
    add up to 7+ million European cars sold in the US in the 1960s.

    Datsun didn't reach 1 million total sales until 1973. Toyota might
    have been a little ahead of them. Honda sold virtually no cars in the
    US prior to 1973. I don't think any other Japanese manufacturer sold
    any cars in the US prior to 1970 except for Malcolm Briklin selling a
    bunch of $600 Subarus in 1969.

    Looking at the 1960s, I would estimate that European cars outsold
    Japanese in the US by at least 5 to 1, maybe 10 to 1. Of course, all
    imports combined rarely cracked 10% of the total market in that
    decade.

    Face it, Mike. All this talk about museum pieces is just a duck,
    dodge and hide maneuver to avoid talking about the fact that Toyota
    outsold Ford in July. Better get used to it. With Prudhoe Bay shut
    down, those Explorers and Expeditions are looking mighty stupid.






     
    Gordon McGrew, Aug 8, 2006
  10. John Horner

    Ray O Guest

    That makes some sense, but why is off line preassembly more expensive than
    on line? Wouldn't the lower parts costs make up for some of the higher
    preassembly costs?
     
    Ray O, Aug 8, 2006
  11. Those Explorers and Expeditions looked pretty stupid before gas prices
    increased.....

    Death traps on wheels....
     
    Scott in Florida, Aug 8, 2006
  12. John Horner

    Mike Hunter Guest

    What lower parts costs? Many of the parts needed to meet CAFE and emission
    standards added significant 'costs' to build the vehicle. The extra cost of
    preassembly have to do with extra man hours. Some preassembly, like a
    competed door, can save money because it use to take more time to do on the
    line, but that is not the case with the compete FWD assembly Few realize
    the cost of building a car like the Lexus versions of Toyotas are only a
    relative few hundreds dollars more, yet the cars sell for many thousands
    more retail.



    mike hunt
     
    Mike Hunter, Aug 8, 2006
  13. The same thing happened recently to the airline industry. For example,
    Air Canada had huge demands placed on them by their unions. In the
    end, the only union that wasn't willing to compromise was the pilots'
    union... greedy greedy. The result? Creditor Protection and
    near-bankruptcy, and the pilots wound up taking big wage cuts anyway.
    Now a few years later, Air Canada is back to profitability in a large
    part because they got the greedy, unreasonable union monkey off their
    back.
    I see the auto industry in north america suffering the same fate unless
    their unions start compromising.

    Unions have their place, but their purpose should be to protect their
    workers' rights and safety, instead of inflating wages.
    If she was part of the union, she didn't have a choice. Smart or not,
    the union told her what she earned. If she wasn't part of the union,
    she should be running GM, because obviously she is one tough
    negotiator. :)

    Tim
     
    NotBloodyLikely, Aug 8, 2006
  14. John Horner

    Ray O Guest

    I agree that many of the parts needed to meet CAFE and emission standards
    add significant costs to build the vehicle, but most of those parts would be
    on the vehicle regardless of driveline configuration.

    The extra cost of
    Assuming that you mean that assembling a transaxle takes more man-hours than
    a transmission/driveshaft/differential/axle, then I follow what you're
    saying.

    Few realize
    True, as is the case with Lincoln versions of Fords; Cadillac versions of
    Chevrolet/GMC; Mercedes Benz versions of Chryslers; Audi versions of
    Volkswagens, and so on, although I do not see the relevance of this to the
    discussion of FWD vs. RWD.
     
    Ray O, Aug 8, 2006
  15. John Horner

    Jim Higgins Guest

     
    Jim Higgins, Aug 9, 2006
  16. John Horner

    Jeff Guest

    Actually, this is a result of deregulation and competitioin, at least in the
    US.

    The wages that many airline emploees are getting are relatively low. A lot
    of retired pilots are getting very little in pensions, compared to what they
    were promised, because of the bankruptcy that the airlines went through. The
    pension are now run by the US Gov't. (as a result of the bankruptcy) and
    they are capped at low values, in part because the pilots retired at 60, the
    oldest pilots are allowed to fly (at least in the cabins). In addition, a
    lot of flight attendents and other airline employees are working longer
    hours.

    The airlines without unions have mostly done better.
    I would call someone who makes $100k per year cleaning pretty smart. That's
    more than teachers get almost everywhere. Heck, that is more than a lot of
    doctors.

    Jeff
     
    Jeff, Aug 9, 2006
  17. John Horner

    rantonrave Guest

    You're still too much a GM apologist because I've seen a case study
    showing that if GM had Toyota's production efficiency - without any
    changes in its labor cost structure, GM would have been profitable
    every year. That's not to say that labor, health care, and pension
    costs are huge burdens, but even if those costs were zero GM would
    still be losing market share and producing bad designs that look like
    more like furniture or boom boxes than like motor vehicles.
     
    rantonrave, Aug 9, 2006
  18. That's impossible during incessant masturbation. He's aided by Car
    Toons and Highlights magazines.
     
    Norm De Plume, Aug 9, 2006
  19. John Horner

    rantonrave Guest

    Among Wagoner of GM, Ford of Ford, and Cho of Toyota, Cho is the most
    of an outsider, being a lawyer and an ethnic Korean, because few
    Japanese industrialists are lawyers, and ethnic Koreans are treated as
    badly in Japan as blacks and Jews were in the U.S. several decades ago.
    Cho also has the most production experience, by far.
     
    rantonrave, Aug 9, 2006
  20. John Horner

    Just Facts Guest

    Kind of like a top end Chev vs the base model EH!
     
    Just Facts, Aug 9, 2006
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